Humanoid robots crossed a commercial threshold in 2025, and 2026 will be the year the industry begins to scale, according to Counterpoint Research. The firm estimates that around 16,000 humanoid robots were installed globally in 2025, with China accounting for more than 80% of deployments, underscoring the country’s early dominance.

The market is already consolidating fast. Counterpoint notes that the top five manufacturers control 73% of the global share, four of them Chinese. AGIBOT leads with 31%, supported by over 5,000 units produced and active deployments in hotels, entertainment, and industrial logistics. Unitree Robotics follows with 27%, leveraging cost-efficient designs and rapid go-to-market execution. UBTECH, Leju Robotics, and Tesla each hover around the 5% mark, with Tesla expected to gain momentum as Optimus production ramps.

Looking to 2026, Counterpoint expects a shift from early commercialization to capacity expansion and cost compression. Larger factories, falling component costs, and growing adoption of Robots-as-a-Service (RaaS) models are set to lower barriers for enterprise customers.

By 2027, Counterpoint forecasts the global installed base will exceed 100,000 units, with logistics, manufacturing, and automotive sectors absorbing 72% of new annual capacity, positioning humanoid robots as a meaningful force in global industrial productivity.

Humanoid Robot Market Snapshot (2025)

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